Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1117.248642 1259.816543 1415.341129 1597.873532 1806.587827 2038.197005 2315.245303
2026-02-01 903.895554 1098.503627 1328.873096 1622.904897 1989.947322 2435.248247 3019.805229
2026-02-08 781.457329 998.649509 1270.336027 1637.587979 2124.773740 2754.026697 3636.640242
2026-02-15 696.459741 926.802362 1228.097468 1654.936008 2250.303133 3060.471393 4262.102286
2026-02-22 636.489386 877.036215 1204.058740 1686.676606 2390.176125 3392.768004 4955.958121
2026-03-01 566.460562 803.938584 1137.560708 1647.462751 2419.527080 3564.909523 5430.638321
2026-03-08 504.733756 735.275370 1068.712785 1594.497400 2418.228539 3685.384067 5833.363199
2026-03-15 452.879309 675.506190 1006.111187 1542.501256 2409.564753 3788.783054 6214.946227
2026-03-22 432.209687 660.331099 1008.328731 1589.657132 2560.131413 4158.282465 7080.261429
2026-03-29 408.018899 637.157786 995.405473 1610.119655 2667.323450 4465.252785 7873.394176
2026-04-05 384.496885 612.765977 977.926580 1620.441014 2756.848302 4749.257179 8658.248100
2026-04-12 363.331766 590.265805 961.250148 1629.788356 2844.286607 5036.797397 9483.721052
2026-04-19 348.920361 578.298350 961.857524 1670.570259 2994.825702 5460.598708 10641.859214
2026-04-26 333.275072 562.969471 955.430632 1698.177602 3124.142831 5859.934074 11809.939287
2026-05-03 317.138382 545.349018 943.260035 1713.550068 3230.878945 6226.138628 12959.077547
2026-05-10 302.864533 529.814699 933.337895 1731.787109 3344.361839 6617.528601 14217.734440
2026-05-17 291.885073 519.309103 931.551843 1765.151544 3491.090729 7093.275731 15734.841625
2026-05-24 271.939147 490.729478 893.805967 1723.931828 3479.243968 7230.528459 16484.425065
2026-05-31 251.929751 460.601359 850.836403 1668.264855 3430.885888 7281.964130 17033.903218
2026-06-07 233.726057 432.677613 810.094698 1613.625321 3379.172819 7319.754685 17554.606234
2026-06-14 228.871320 430.206103 818.905594 1663.178145 3561.849342 7913.088273 19577.525454
2026-06-21 221.190945 421.608461 814.803663 1684.683032 3683.307980 8377.152596 21335.981232
2026-06-28 212.895826 411.193423 806.205778 1695.530671 3781.088719 8795.498378 23037.970563